National outlook – May to July 2025

• The official national outlook was released by the Bureau of Meteorology on 1 May 2025.
• The rainfall outlook for May to July is likely to be below median for much of northern, eastern and southwestern Australia, when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have moderate to high (65% to above 75%) accuracy for the forecast period.
• The maximum and minimum temperatures for May to July are likely to be above median across most of Australia.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have moderate to high (45% to above 75%) accuracy for the forecast period for most of Australia when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).