NSW outlook May to July 2025

(issued from the Bureau of Meteorology on 1 May 2025)

Rainfall Outlook

Rainfall is likely to be below median across most of NSW during the May to July forecast period.

The rainfall outlook shows the likelihood of receiving above or below median rainfall during the forecast period.

• For NSW, there is an 25% to 55% chance of rainfall exceeding the historical median for this forecast period.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have a moderate to high (55% to 75%) accuracy for the forecast period when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).

This outlook can shift rapidly as the Bureau of Meteorology updates the observed inputs to its numerical forecasting systems.

You can explore the Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks on their website.

Temperature Outlook

High likelihood of above median daytime and overnight temperatures for most of NSW.

The temperature outlooks show the likelihood of above or below median temperatures during the forecast period.

• The temperature outlook indicates that there is a moderate to high likelihood (65% to above 80% chance) of above median maximum temperatures and minimum temperatures across NSW during the autumn period.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have moderate (45% to above 65%) accuracy for the forecast period when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).

You can explore the Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks on their website.