NSW outlook - October to December 2024

(issued by the Bureau of Meteorology on 5 September 2024)

Rainfall Outlook

Even to moderate likelihood of above median rainfall across NSW

The rainfall outlook shows the likelihood of receiving above or below median rainfall during the forecast period.

• There is an 45% to 70% chance of rainfall exceeding the historical median across NSW for the October to December period.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have moderate to high (55% to above 75%) accuracy for the forecast period when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).
• This outlook can shift rapidly as the Bureau of Meteorology updates the observed inputs to its numerical forecasting systems.

You can explore the Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks on their website.

Temperature Outlook

Even to high likelihood of above median daytime and overnight temperatures for NSW.

The temperature outlooks show the likelihood of above or below median temperatures during the forecast period.

• The temperature outlook indicates that there is a moderate to high likelihood (50% to above 80% chance) of above median maximum temperatures for NSW during the October to December period.
• There is a high likelihood (above 80%) of above median minimum temperatures for the next three months.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have moderate to high (65% to above 75%) accuracy for the forecast period when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).

You can explore the Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks on their website.