NSW outlook March to May 2025

(issued from the Bureau of Meteorology on 27 February 2025)

Rainfall Outlook

Rainfall is likely to be near median across most of NSW during the March to May period

The rainfall outlook shows the likelihood of receiving above or below median rainfall during the forecast period.

• There is an 40% to 65% chance of rainfall exceeding the historical median across NSW for the autumn period.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have a moderate (45% to 75%) accuracy for the forecast period when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).

This outlook can shift rapidly as the Bureau of Meteorology updates the observed inputs to its numerical forecasting systems.

You can explore the Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks on their website.

Temperature Outlook

High likelihood of above median daytime and overnight temperatures for most of NSW.

The temperature outlooks show the likelihood of above or below median temperatures during the forecast period.

• The temperature outlook indicates that there is a high likelihood (above 80% chance) of above median maximum temperatures and minimum temperatures across NSW during the autumn period.
• Outlooks based on the Bureau of Meteorology numerical model have moderate to high (55% to above 75%) accuracy for the forecast period when compared to the historical record (1981 – 2018).

You can explore the Bureau of Meteorology’s climate outlooks on their website.